Bitcoin Cash’s Last Big Comeback? Bold Price Targets and the Real Impact of Its 2025 Upgrades

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 I strongly recommend reading this article all the way to the end; your money is precious, and knowledge is what protects it.

  1. Bitcoin Cash has quietly put in one of its strongest runs in years, both in USD terms and on the satoshi (BCH/BTC) chart, after spending a long time bleeding against Bitcoin.

  2. Recent upgrades like CashTokens and the upcoming smart-contract-focused improvements finally give BCH a real technical story again, but that alone is not enough to guarantee a return to its 2017 glory.

  3. I personally see BCH in a volatile 450–900 dollar band over the next 3–6 months, with a realistic medium-term spike target in the 1,500–2,000 dollar zone if we get one more proper alt season in this cycle.


1. BCH is finally moving again

If you feel that BCH has started to move “differently” recently, you’re not imagining it.

After years of slow bleed against Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash has finally shown real strength:

  • In USD terms, BCH has more than doubled off its lows this cycle.

  • In BTC terms, BCH/BTC has bounced from deep historical lows and started to put in higher lows on the weekly chart.

This is exactly the kind of behavior you see when a large, “forgotten” altcoin wakes up for a new speculative leg.

BCH
chart by TradingView

From a pure market-structure point of view:

  • BCH has already done a strong leg up from the sub-300 dollar area to above 600 dollars.

  • Price has repeatedly attacked the 600–650 dollar resistance band, hinting at a large consolidation range rather than a dead-cat bounce.

The energy around BCH is clearly different from the zombie phase of 2022–2023. The question now is whether this is just a late-cycle fling, or the start of something structurally more interesting.

2. What actually changed under the hood

2.1 CashTokens: BCH grows beyond “just payments”

In 2023, BCH introduced CashTokens, an upgrade that pushed it beyond the “big-block payments only” narrative.

With CashTokens, BCH can now support:

  • Native fungible tokens

  • NFT-like collectibles

  • On-chain DEXs, AMMs, escrows, and more complex contract-like logic

The key point: BCH is no longer just “cheap payments with larger blocks than Bitcoin.” It has real programmability on the base layer, while keeping very low fees.

2.2 2025 upgrades: more power for smart contracts

For 2025, the BCH ecosystem is focusing on further smart contract–oriented improvements. Among the ideas on the table are:

  • Better support for more advanced AMM designs

  • Stronger tools for escrows and complex payment flows

  • Enhancements designed to make BCH contracts more scalable and more secure

None of this guarantees user adoption. But it does mean BCH is not standing still technically; it is trying to position itself as a Bitcoin-style chain that can still host real applications.

2.3 ETF and institutional narrative

On the narrative side, BCH has also re-entered the conversation around regulated products like trusts and potential ETFs.

The significance is simple:

  • Easier access for traditional brokers and retirement accounts

  • A possible slow, passive bid under the market in the next cycle

  • Inclusion in the “second-tier ETF basket” along with other legacy large-cap alts

In a relatively thin altcoin orderbook, even modest new capital pipes can move price surprisingly hard.

2.4 The stablecoin pivot: old layers die, new layers grow

On the negative side, older token layers on BCH such as SLP have effectively been left behind by major players like Tether.

This is a clear signal:

  • The market is moving away from legacy token formats.

  • BCH’s future depends on the success of newer infrastructure like CashTokens.

The ecosystem is in a transition phase: part of the old stack is slowly dying, while the new stack is still building momentum.

3. Short-term view (3–6 months): my aggressive but concrete levels

Let’s define the short term as roughly 3–6 months from now.

Current context:

  • BCH has already done a major leg up this cycle.

  • Price is oscillating in a broad 500–700 dollar region.

  • BCH/BTC is no longer in a one-way downtrend; it’s trying to build a bottom structure.

My personal trading view, with numbers attached, looks like this.

Base case (around 50% probability)

  • BCH trades most of the next 3–6 months inside a 500–750 dollar range.

  • At least one clean breakout into the 650–700 dollar zone, likely on the back of a Bitcoin relief rally or a positive narrative headline (upgrades, ETF progress, etc.).

  • BCH/BTC oscillates around 0.005–0.008, meaning moderate but not insane outperformance vs Bitcoin.

Bull case (around 30% probability)

  • The consolidation resolves higher, and BCH pushes into the 800–900 dollar area on a sharp spike.

  • This likely coincides with a short, aggressive altcoin rotation while Bitcoin is strong but not at peak euphoria.

  • BCH/BTC extends toward the 0.010–0.012 BTC region, roughly a 2x outperformance vs BTC from here.

Bear case (around 20% probability)

  • Macro or crypto sentiment turn risk-off, Bitcoin revisits deeper supports, and liquidity drains from older L1s.

  • BCH retests the 400–450 dollar area as a deeper flush before any next leg.

  • BCH/BTC slips back toward 0.0035–0.0045 in that scenario.

In short: I still see more upside volatility than downside in the short term, but the trading box is huge. Over-leverage inside a 300 dollar-wide range is asking for trouble.

(chart: BCH/USD daily chart from early 2024 to late 2025, highlighting the low near ~260 dollars, the spike to ~650 dollars, and the current consolidation around ~550–600 dollars)

4. Medium-term view (12–24 months): can BCH really regain its “glory days”?

When people talk about BCH’s “past glory,” they are usually thinking about:

  • USD prices in the low-thousands during the 2017 mania

  • A BCH/BTC ratio that briefly went into insane territory

From today’s standpoint, BCH is:

  • Still far below its USD all-time high

  • Only a tiny fraction of its historical BTC-denominated peak

So what is realistic over the next 12–24 months?

4.1 Why I don’t believe in a full 2017-style comeback

A full recovery back to the old BTC ratio is, in my view, off the table. Too many new L1s and narratives have arrived. Capital, dev talent, and user attention are spread across Ethereum, Solana, and multiple other ecosystems.

BCH is no longer “the alternative to Bitcoin.” It is one of many older majors fighting for relevance in a crowded field.

4.2 My medium-term price map

Here is how I personally frame the next 1–2 years for BCH, assuming the current Bitcoin cycle still has juice left:

Realistic strong-cycle top for BCH (my opinion)

  • USD: a spike into roughly 1,500–2,000 dollars

  • BTC: a move into roughly 0.012–0.02 BTC

This would mean:

  • Around 3–4x from current USD levels

  • Roughly 2–3x outperformance vs BTC from here

  • Still clearly below BCH’s 2017 relative peak, which fits how most “old majors” behave in later cycles

Base case medium-term

  • BCH trades as a high-beta Bitcoin proxy, spending most of the time between 500 and 1,200 dollars over the next 12–24 months.

  • BCH/BTC mostly stays in the 0.004–0.010 band, with only short-lived excursions beyond it.

Bearish structural outcome

  • The 2025–2026 move turns out to be the last big BCH cycle with meaningful BTC outperformance.

  • DeFi, stablecoins, and user activity continue to concentrate on other chains; BCH becomes mainly a payments/nostalgia asset.

  • Even if USD price looks acceptable because Bitcoin keeps rising, BCH could slowly bleed vs BTC again.

Do I think BCH can fully go back to its 2017 status as Bitcoin’s main rival? No. That era is gone.

Do I think BCH can still deliver one more explosive, tradable cycle where it meaningfully outperforms BTC for a while? Yes, I think that scenario is still alive, especially if the broader altcoin cycle has one more leg.

5. What this means for you as a trader or investor

Here are the practical takeaways.

  1. Watch BCH/BTC, not just BCH/USD.
    If BCH is rising only when BTC rips, that is just beta. The real signal that BCH is waking up is a pattern of higher highs and higher lows vs BTC on the weekly chart.

  2. Treat BCH as a high-beta trade, not a religion.
    BCH is no longer in a realistic position to replace Bitcoin. In my view, it is now a levered side bet on Bitcoin’s cycle plus a niche tech story. That is very tradable, but it is not a 10-year “close your eyes” holding.

  3. Build your risk around wide ranges.
    With a plausible short-term band of 450–900 dollars and a speculative medium-term spike zone of 1,500–2,000 dollars, position sizing is everything. Small initial entries, scaling into confirmation, and very clear invalidation levels matter more than fancy narratives.

  4. Respect the upgrades, but price in adoption, not just technology.
    CashTokens and the 2025 upgrades genuinely improve BCH’s technology profile. But in crypto, liquidity and narrative move faster than elegant engineering. You want to see actual on-chain usage, not just a pretty roadmap.

  5. Keep an eye on the ETF and stablecoin picture.

    • Any progress on regulated products around BCH is a meaningful tailwind.

    • At the same time, the retreat from older token layers (like legacy SLP stablecoins) is a reminder that infrastructure can be abandoned if it fails to keep up.

If you choose to trade BCH now, I would frame it as a tactical bet on one more big alt-season leg, not a nostalgic bet that 2017 will repeat exactly as it was.

This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice; any decisions you make with your money are entirely your own responsibility.

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