I strongly recommend reading this article all the way to the end; your money is precious, and knowledge is what protects it.
In October, one short comment from Donald Trump about trade and tariffs was enough to trigger a violent sell-off across the entire crypto market. Within hours, Bitcoin dumped hard, major altcoins followed, and a sea of liquidations washed through the futures markets.
Most of the people who got wiped out shared the same pattern:
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Small accounts
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High leverage, often above 10x
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A belief that “I’ll be careful, I’m different from the others”
This article is about why that combination – small capital + high leverage + crypto futures – is structurally suicidal, and why you should fundamentally change how you think about futures trading.
Crypto futures are not supposed to be a lottery ticket.
Their original purpose is hedging spot positions, not trying to turn $100 into $10,000 overnight.
If you insist on trading futures anyway, you should at least treat them like a risk management tool, not a casino.
1. The October Crash: How One Comment Became a Liquidation Machine
Let’s recap the dynamics, not the exact numbers.
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A high-profile political statement hits the news (in this case, a Trump remark about tariffs).
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Global risk assets wobble; crypto, which is already overleveraged, reacts violently.
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Bitcoin and major altcoins see a sharp, fast drawdown – a “flush” candle.
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On exchanges, overleveraged futures positions start hitting liquidation levels.
Once liquidations start, the process feeds on itself:
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Price drops a few percent.
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Highly leveraged longs get liquidated, and their positions are dumped into the order book as market sells.
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Those market sells push price down further.
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More liquidations are triggered at the new lower prices.
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The cycle repeats, until enough positions have been flushed out.
If you were long with 20x on a tiny account, you never got the chance to “decide” what to do.
The exchange closed your position for you. That’s how futures work.
This is the first mental shift you need:
In high-leverage crypto futures, you are not in full control.
The liquidation engine is.
2. The Brutal Math: Why Leverage Above 3x Is a Loaded Gun
Forget emotions. Look at the math.
2.1 Your liquidation distance shrinks as leverage rises
Say you have $100 in your futures wallet and go long BTC with 20x leverage.
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Position size: $2,000
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A 5% drop against you = $100 loss
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You’re liquidated. Game over.
And this is before fees and slippage.
Crypto can move 3–5% intraday without any major news. On a day like that October crash, double-digit intraday moves are absolutely normal. A 20x trader is always just one or two candles away from obliteration.
Now compare 3x leverage:
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Same $100 → $300 position
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A 5% drop against you = $15
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You can survive, learn, and adjust if your risk per trade is controlled.
3x is not “safe,” but it at least allows room for imperfection.
Above that, especially with small capital, you’re one wick away from liquidation.
2.2 Fees, funding and spread quietly drain small accounts
High leverage doesn’t only amplify P&L. It magnifies costs:
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Taker fees when you use market orders
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Funding fees on perpetual futures
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Spread, especially on thin altcoin pairs
A professional desk can absorb these as part of a systematic strategy.
A $200 retail account on 25x leverage cannot.
Even if your direction is occasionally correct, the combination of:
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High leverage
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Frequent trading
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High costs
ensures your equity gradually trends toward zero.
2.3 High leverage kills your psychological edge
Retail traders should have one advantage: patience.
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You can wait for clean setups.
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You can avoid forced decisions.
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You don’t have quarterly performance pressure.
High leverage destroys that edge instantly:
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Every 1% move feels like a crisis.
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You’re glued to the 1-minute chart, unable to think in days or weeks.
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You move stops emotionally, not logically.
Instead of using your brain, you end up reacting to random noise. That’s exactly when you make the worst decisions with the highest size.
3. Inside the Machine: Market Makers and Thin Crypto Liquidity
Marketing pages talk about “deep liquidity” and “24/7 access.” October exposed the other side: liquidity that disappears when you need it most.
3.1 What market makers really do
Market makers:
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Quote both bid and ask prices
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Earn the spread
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Hedge their risk elsewhere
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Provide continuous liquidity under normal conditions
They are not hired to protect your PnL. They are there to profit from flow, including:
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Your emotional market orders
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Your liquidation flows
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Your stop runs
Under stress – like sudden macro news or a big tweet – market makers:
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Widen their spreads
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Reduce size
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Or pull quotes temporarily
When your overleveraged position hits liquidation at that exact moment, your position is dumped into a thinned-out order book.
That’s why you see:
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Huge wicks
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Prices overshooting any “fair value” levels
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Traders getting liquidated at prices they never thought possible
3.2 Crypto liquidity is conditional, not guaranteed
Compared to FX or S&P futures, crypto is still:
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Concentrated on a few major exchanges
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Dominated by derivatives, not spot
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Highly dependent on a small group of large market makers
On good days, the book looks thick. On bad days, a single large liquidation wave can shove price through multiple levels in seconds.
If you are trading a small account with high leverage, you are volunteering to be the weakest hand in a system that is structurally designed to punish weak hands.
4. “Small Account + High Leverage” Is the Worst Possible Combination
People often say:
“Institutions use leverage all the time. Why shouldn’t I?”
The answer is simple.
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They risk a tiny fraction of capital per idea
A fund might have $50 million and risk 0.25% per trade, even if the notional leverage is high. You have $500 and often risk 50–100% in a single bet. -
They have better fees and execution
They negotiate special fee tiers and often provide liquidity themselves. You pay full retail fees and trade into their quotes. -
They can survive streaks of losses
They are built to survive a bad month or quarter. You might not survive a single bad day if you’re overleveraged. -
They often are the hedge
They might be short futures because they’re long spot elsewhere. You’re just naked long or short with no underlying exposure.
The combination of small capital + high leverage doesn’t create opportunity. It removes your margin for error, both financially and psychologically.
5. Change How You Think About Futures: From Gambling to Hedging
Here is the core mental shift I want you to make:
Futures are not supposed to be your main weapon for getting rich.
Their original purpose is to hedge risk on an existing spot position.
In traditional markets:
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Farmers hedge future crop prices with futures.
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Airlines hedge fuel costs.
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Producers hedge metal prices.
They are not trying to guess the top and bottom of every candle. They use futures to lock in a range of outcomes and protect their main business.
You should adopt the same mindset in crypto:
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If you already hold spot BTC or ETH, a small futures short can hedge downside risk during a dangerous macro event.
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If you are providing liquidity or running a strategy on one chain, futures can help you reduce directional exposure while keeping your core position.
In other words:
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Think of futures as insurance on your spot stack.
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Not as a miracle machine to multiply a tiny account with 50x leverage.
Once you view futures as hedging tools:
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Your position size naturally shrinks.
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Your leverage drops.
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Your time horizon extends.
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Your trading decisions become calmer and more logical.
If a trade doesn’t make sense as a hedge or as part of a larger portfolio plan, you should ask yourself a very simple question:
“Am I managing risk here, or am I just gambling?”
Most retail futures trades, if answered honestly, fall into the second category.
6. If You Still Insist on Trading Futures, Do It Like This
If, after everything above, you still want to use futures, at least use them in a way that respects their original purpose.
6.1 Decide your “sacrificial capital” in advance
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Choose an amount you can emotionally and financially afford to lose.
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Treat that futures wallet as already gone.
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Do not refill it endlessly from your savings.
6.2 Use futures primarily to hedge spot
Examples:
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You hold 1 BTC spot for the long term.
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You are worried about a sharp macro event.
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You open a small short futures position, maybe 0.2–0.3 BTC notional, to soften the impact of a sudden drop.
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You hold a basket of altcoins you don’t want to sell for tax or long-term reasons.
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You short a BTC or ETH perpetual as a partial hedge against market-wide drawdowns.
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In both cases, you are not trying to perfectly time the bottom.
You are reducing the volatility of your total portfolio.
6.3 Keep leverage low: 1–3x is more than enough
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Anything above 3x for a small retail account is not “smart risk,” it’s just a ticking bomb.
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Low leverage gives you the space to be early and still survive.
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If a position only looks “attractive” at 20x, it’s not a good trade. It’s just a lottery ticket.
6.4 Limit risk per idea
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Risk 1–2% of your futures capital per trade.
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Calculate position size based on your stop distance, not your emotions.
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If you don’t know how to size positions this way, your first task is education, not trading.
6.5 Avoid taking direction right before big events
If a major event is coming – important speech, macro data, regulation news – and you’re tempted to “guess the direction” with high leverage, remember October.
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Big events are where liquidity thins, spreads widen, and liquidation cascades start.
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If you must be in the market, consider reducing size or using options instead of maxed-out perps.
6.6 Accept that you might not need futures at all
For many investors, the best strategy is still:
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Accumulate spot BTC/ETH over time
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Keep leverage at zero
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Take partial profits when the entire market becomes euphoric and obviously overheated
Slow wealth feels boring compared to flashing liquidation alerts, but it is real wealth, not borrowed money swinging up and down every second.
7. Final Thought
The October crash did not “randomly target” innocent traders. It exposed exactly how this market is structured:
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Thin, reactive liquidity
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Heavy reliance on overleveraged futures
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A liquidation engine that does not care about your plans or beliefs
If you combine small capital, poor risk management, and high leverage, you are volunteering to be fuel for the next cascade.
Change how you think about futures.
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See them as a tool to hedge your spot exposure.
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Use low leverage, small size, and clear risk limits.
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If a trade wouldn’t make sense as part of a hedged portfolio, it probably doesn’t make sense at all.
The market doesn’t reward courage or optimism.
It rewards discipline, risk control, and the ability to still be here after the next crash.
This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice; any decisions you make with your money are entirely your own responsibility.
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